Maciej Domin vs Josef Braun 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082471

Played Sep 6Finished

Maciej Domin

Home

2.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11511131311116––

Josef Braun

Away

1.40

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%

Graded at full time

Josef Braun to win

67.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingMaciej Domin above · Josef Braun below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Josef Braun at 67.9%

81 points played in total.

H2H Maciej Domin 4–6 Josef Braun Maciej Domin has won 4 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 12:19

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Braun

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-6 in 10

Braun

Wrong

gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Domin 1805 vs Braun 1782

Domin

Correct

both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Domin 60% vs Braun 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Domin 50% vs Braun 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Domin -1 · Braun -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Braun) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Braun form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDomin 2.75 / Braun 1.40

Signal prob.33% / 67%

Edge (Braun)+0.4pp

TT Elite Series · #13082471

Domin2.75

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 84 of 189

Down 0–1, comes back30% 34 of 115

Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57

Braun1.40

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 143 of 244

Up 2–0, closes it91% 77 of 85

Up 1–0, closes it75% 109 of 146

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDomin4wins

AwayBraun6wins

1 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDomin60%3 of 5

AwayBraun80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Domin5Braun5n = 10split evenly

S2Domin3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10

S3Domin5Braun5n = 10split evenly

S4Domin5Braun4n = 9Domin took 5 of 9

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDominBraunD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.3−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDominBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 944 vs 504 / 96552.2%52.2%493 / 944 vs 504 / 965Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Braun

Domin 2.75/Braun 1.40

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

66.7%

Braun · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Domin won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 13:20M. Domin—11514113J. Braun—4111271

WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin—111113113J. Braun—5131161

WAug 27 · 12:10M. Domin—11511113J. Braun—311981

LJul 27 · 10:50M. Domin—1111411102J. Braun—713113123

WJul 25 · 09:00M. Domin—91111113J. Braun—119991

LJul 25 · 06:30M. Domin—511671J. Braun—11711113

LApr 18 · 10:25M. Domin—441181J. Braun—11119113

LDec 23 · 15:00M. Domin—211691J. Braun—11811113

LDec 23 · 06:00M. Domin—10570J. Braun—1211113

LSep 1 · 16:40M. Domin—119541J. Braun—91111113

M. Domin10

WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203 WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113 WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113 LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791 LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162 LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123 LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113 WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123 WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841 LSep 5 · 14:35M. Domin1.73125581S. Sporek2.00101111113

J. Braun10

LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751 LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113 WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113 LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562 WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113 WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741 LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192 WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161 WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581 WSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750

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