TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082210
Played Sep 6Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711113911––
Maciej Domin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Adamiak to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Maciej Domin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Grzegorz Adamiak at 55.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 9–2 Maciej Domin Maciej Domin has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Adamiak
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1774 vs Domin 1733
Adamiak
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 60% vs Domin 20%
Adamiak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 70% vs Domin 50%
Adamiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -2 · Domin -3
Domin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Adamiak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domin form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 1.80 / Domin 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Adamiak)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13082210
Adamiak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 82 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it84% 63 of 75
Domin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back30% 33 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak8wins
AwayDomin2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamiak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak87.5%7 of 8
AwayDominn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak8Domin2n = 10Adamiak took 8 of 10
S2Adamiak5Domin5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamiak7Domin3n = 10Adamiak took 7 of 10
S4Adamiak5Domin3n = 8Adamiak took 5 of 8
S5Adamiak2Domin1n = 3Adamiak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakDominA − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.234.2+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakDominBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 773 vs 490 / 94143.9%52.1%339 / 773 vs 490 / 941Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamiakAdamiak 1.80/Domin 1.91
Miss
What we said
55%
Adamiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Domin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:00G. Adamiak—111311113M. Domin—8111391
WSep 5 · 07:45G. Adamiak—11911113M. Domin—711851
LJul 27 · 12:30G. Adamiak—118651M. Domin—71111113
LApr 19 · 12:25G. Adamiak—91111672M. Domin—116111113
WApr 18 · 15:35G. Adamiak—1011611113M. Domin—12711492
WJan 31 · 09:00G. Adamiak—11211113M. Domin—611491
WJan 17 · 16:35G. Adamiak—1111113M. Domin—8560
WDec 24 · 05:35G. Adamiak—11811113M. Domin—311791
WDec 23 · 13:45G. Adamiak—1211113M. Domin—10780
WDec 23 · 07:35G. Adamiak—118117113M. Domin—71151192
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113WSep 5 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.0041111992G. Adamiak1.73118611113
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841LSep 5 · 14:35M. Domin1.73125581S. Sporek2.00101111113
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