TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086240
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Zagajewski
Home
5.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911115311––
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
1.09
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:10 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Adamiak to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
611911115311––
H2H Mateusz Zagajewski 0–1 Grzegorz Adamiak Mateusz Zagajewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.09 (84%)
Adamiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zagajewski 1357 vs Adamiak 1795
Adamiak
Correct
both rated, 438 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zagajewski 40% vs Adamiak 100%
Adamiak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zagajewski 50% vs Adamiak 90%
Adamiak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zagajewski +2 · Adamiak +5
Adamiak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Adamiak) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZagajewski 5.80 / Adamiak 1.09
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Adamiak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13086240
Zagajewski5.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 50 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Adamiak1.09
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite70% won 88 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it85% 69 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZagajewski0wins
AwayAdamiak1wins
Adamiak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZagajewskiAdamiakZ − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.038.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZagajewskiAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 716 vs 341 / 77649.3%43.9%353 / 716 vs 341 / 776Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamiakZagajewski 5.80/Adamiak 1.09
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87%
Adamiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski—691131G. Adamiak—11115113
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113WSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122LAug 30 · 14:35M. Zagajewski2.3571161172D. Solilo1.50119116113
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113WSep 5 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.0041111992G. Adamiak1.73118611113
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