TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085954
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911211711––––
Mateusz Zagajewski
Away
1.68
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeTomasz Pisarczyk to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
911211711––––
H2H Tomasz Pisarczyk 6–5 Mateusz Zagajewski Mateusz Zagajewski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:47What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Zagajewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pisarczyk 1330 vs Zagajewski 1357
Zagajewski
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pisarczyk 60% vs Zagajewski 40%
Pisarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pisarczyk 60% vs Zagajewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pisarczyk -2 · Zagajewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Zagajewski) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisarczyk 2.05 / Zagajewski 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zagajewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13085954
Pisarczyk2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Zagajewski1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 40 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisarczyk6wins
AwayZagajewski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPisarczyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisarczyk100%4 of 4
AwayZagajewski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisarczyk4Zagajewski5n = 9Zagajewski took 5 of 9
S2Pisarczyk7Zagajewski2n = 9Pisarczyk took 7 of 9
S3Pisarczyk6Zagajewski3n = 9Pisarczyk took 6 of 9
S4Pisarczyk3Zagajewski2n = 5Pisarczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisarczykZagajewskiP − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.633.1+2.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisarczykZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 358 vs 353 / 71640.5%49.3%145 / 358 vs 353 / 716Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZagajewskiPisarczyk 2.05/Zagajewski 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Zagajewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zagajewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 6 · 12:10T. Pisarczyk—151111113M. Zagajewski—177781
LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk—9270M. Zagajewski—1111113
WMar 20 · 20:20T. Pisarczyk—1212113M. Zagajewski—101030
LNov 28 · 11:10T. Pisarczyk—711561M. Zagajewski—11911113
WNov 28 · 06:40T. Pisarczyk—1111113M. Zagajewski—5970
WNov 21 · 13:15T. Pisarczyk—1111113M. Zagajewski—5540
LNov 21 · 07:05T. Pisarczyk—71111942M. Zagajewski—117911113
WNov 6 · 12:35T. Pisarczyk—481111113M. Zagajewski—11115782
WMay 1 · 09:00T. Pisarczyk—11114113M. Zagajewski—871191
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122LAug 30 · 14:35M. Zagajewski2.3571161172D. Solilo1.50119116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.