TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086244
Played Sep 6Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1128111311117––
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:10 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1128111311117––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 7–3 Tomasz Pisarczyk Tomasz Pisarczyk has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Dabrowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1376 vs Pisarczyk 1330
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 40% vs Pisarczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 40% vs Pisarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Pisarczyk -3
Pisarczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dabrowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.40 / Pisarczyk 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Dabrowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13086244
Dabrowski1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 216 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it97% 105 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it75% 168 of 225
Pisarczyk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski7wins
AwayPisarczyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayPisarczyk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski7Pisarczyk3n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10
S2Dabrowski9Pisarczyk1n = 10Dabrowski took 9 of 10
S3Dabrowski5Pisarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Dabrowski5Pisarczyk2n = 7Dabrowski took 5 of 7
S5Dabrowski1Pisarczyk3n = 4Pisarczyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiPisarczykD − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.335.3+7.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime821 / 1626 vs 145 / 35850.5%40.5%821 / 1626 vs 145 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.40/Pisarczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski—1111812102T. Pisarczyk—721114123
WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski—11813113T. Pisarczyk—2111171
LMay 23 · 13:10I. Dabrowski—1111101172T. Pisarczyk—139129113
WMay 23 · 07:10I. Dabrowski—1112113T. Pisarczyk—51040
WMar 29 · 03:50I. Dabrowski—111110113T. Pisarczyk—941261
WNov 25 · 01:10I. Dabrowski—611911113T. Pisarczyk—11811462
WNov 24 · 22:45I. Dabrowski—1311113T. Pisarczyk—11590
WNov 21 · 10:25I. Dabrowski—71111113T. Pisarczyk—115481
LNov 21 · 07:55I. Dabrowski—111165112T. Pisarczyk—981111133
WSep 27 · 09:00I. Dabrowski—1211113T. Pisarczyk—10890
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113LSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113WSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771LSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113LAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
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