TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087124
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Home
3.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14129111186111311
Damian Wasilewski
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
14129111186111311
H2H Tomasz Pisarczyk 17–49 Damian Wasilewski Tomasz Pisarczyk has won 17 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Wasilewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-49 in 66
Wasilewski
Wrong
gap of 32 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pisarczyk 1326 vs Wasilewski 1420
Wasilewski
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pisarczyk 60% vs Wasilewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pisarczyk 50% vs Wasilewski 70%
Wasilewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pisarczyk +1 · Wasilewski +3
Wasilewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Wasilewski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisarczyk 3.10 / Wasilewski 1.30
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Wasilewski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13087124
Pisarczyk3.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Wasilewski1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 42 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisarczyk4wins
AwayWasilewski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWasilewski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisarczyk100%3 of 3
AwayWasilewski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisarczyk3Wasilewski7n = 10Wasilewski took 7 of 10
S2Pisarczyk2Wasilewski8n = 10Wasilewski took 8 of 10
S3Pisarczyk4Wasilewski6n = 10Wasilewski took 6 of 10
S4Pisarczyk1Wasilewski5n = 6Wasilewski took 5 of 6
S5Pisarczyk4Wasilewski0n = 4Pisarczyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisarczykWasilewskiP − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.242.0−5.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisarczykWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 357 vs 186 / 31340.3%59.4%144 / 357 vs 186 / 313Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiPisarczyk 3.10/Wasilewski 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.9%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pisarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 03:40T. Pisarczyk—5240D. Wasilewski—1111113
LAug 15 · 10:35T. Pisarczyk—61140D. Wasilewski—1113113
LMay 23 · 14:00T. Pisarczyk—1081251D. Wasilewski—121110113
WMay 23 · 08:45T. Pisarczyk—133116113D. Wasilewski—111191162
WMay 16 · 10:40T. Pisarczyk—1111510113D. Wasilewski—44111242
LMay 16 · 06:10T. Pisarczyk—1110130D. Wasilewski—1312153
LMay 2 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk—116120D. Wasilewski—1311143
LApr 26 · 09:05T. Pisarczyk—813841D. Wasilewski—111111113
WApr 26 · 06:10T. Pisarczyk—126118143D. Wasilewski—1011811122
WApr 8 · 14:40T. Pisarczyk—1281114113D. Wasilewski—141161282
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113WSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113WSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133LSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071WSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113LSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113WSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 13:55J. Rolak2.7011611832D. Wasilewski1.40711911113
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