TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085951
Played Sep 6Finished
Piotr Staniszewski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51115131210117––
Damian Wasilewski
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
51115131210117––
H2H Piotr Staniszewski 1–2 Damian Wasilewski Piotr Staniszewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wasilewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniszewski 1372 vs Wasilewski 1420
Wasilewski
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniszewski 40% vs Wasilewski 80%
Wasilewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniszewski 30% vs Wasilewski 60%
Wasilewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniszewski -2 · Wasilewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Wasilewski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniszewski 2.25 / Wasilewski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Wasilewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13085951
Staniszewski2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 67 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Wasilewski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 48 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStaniszewski1wins
AwayWasilewski2wins
Wasilewski leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniszewski1Wasilewski2n = 3Wasilewski took 2 of 3
S2Staniszewski1Wasilewski2n = 3Wasilewski took 2 of 3
S3Staniszewski1Wasilewski2n = 3Wasilewski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaniszewskiWasilewskiS − WBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.039.3−7.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniszewskiWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 870 vs 185 / 31346.4%59.1%404 / 870 vs 185 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiStaniszewski 2.25/Wasilewski 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staniszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski—7650D. Wasilewski—1111113
WSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski—51512113D. Wasilewski—11131071
LJan 4 · 05:30P. Staniszewski—1251081D. Wasilewski—101112113
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111LSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113LSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771WSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122WAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113WSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113LSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113WSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 13:55J. Rolak2.7011611832D. Wasilewski1.40711911113
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