TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086519
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Zagajewski
Home
2.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111214115711––
Damian Wasilewski
Away
1.56
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
5111214115711––
H2H Mateusz Zagajewski 5–4 Damian Wasilewski Damian Wasilewski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (59%)
Wasilewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zagajewski 1384 vs Wasilewski 1399
Wasilewski
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zagajewski 60% vs Wasilewski 40%
Zagajewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zagajewski 50% vs Wasilewski 70%
Wasilewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zagajewski -1 · Wasilewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Wasilewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZagajewski 2.22 / Wasilewski 1.56
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Wasilewski)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13086519
Zagajewski2.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Wasilewski1.56
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 42 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZagajewski5wins
AwayWasilewski4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZagajewski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZagajewski80%4 of 5
AwayWasilewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zagajewski5Wasilewski4n = 9Zagajewski took 5 of 9
S2Zagajewski4Wasilewski5n = 9Wasilewski took 5 of 9
S3Zagajewski4Wasilewski5n = 9Wasilewski took 5 of 9
S4Zagajewski3Wasilewski4n = 7Wasilewski took 4 of 7
S5Zagajewski2Wasilewski1n = 3Zagajewski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricZagajewskiWasilewskiZ − WBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.939.6−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZagajewskiWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 712 vs 184 / 31249.4%59%352 / 712 vs 184 / 312Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiZagajewski 2.22/Wasilewski 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wasilewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 6 · 04:50M. Zagajewski—117118113D. Wasilewski—51161182
WNov 28 · 12:25M. Zagajewski—11712123D. Wasilewski—41110101
LNov 28 · 07:55M. Zagajewski—96120D. Wasilewski—1111143
WNov 21 · 14:05M. Zagajewski—11129113D. Wasilewski—6101191
LNov 21 · 05:55M. Zagajewski—111194112D. Wasilewski—961111133
LNov 6 · 13:10M. Zagajewski—1261171D. Wasilewski—14118113
LNov 6 · 05:30M. Zagajewski—6610D. Wasilewski—1111113
WMay 1 · 13:30M. Zagajewski—711135113D. Wasilewski—119111182
WMay 1 · 08:10M. Zagajewski—11116113D. Wasilewski—591161
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113WSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122LAug 30 · 14:35M. Zagajewski2.3571161172D. Solilo1.50119116113
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133LSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071WSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113LSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113WSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 13:55J. Rolak2.7011611832D. Wasilewski1.40711911113
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