TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087133
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Zagajewski
Home
1.82
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1715711711811––
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Zagajewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
1715711711811––
H2H Mateusz Zagajewski 5–5 Tomasz Pisarczyk Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:40What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (50%)
Zagajewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zagajewski 1373 vs Pisarczyk 1312
Zagajewski
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zagajewski 40% vs Pisarczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zagajewski 40% vs Pisarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zagajewski -2 · Pisarczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zagajewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisarczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZagajewski 1.82 / Pisarczyk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zagajewski)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13087133
Zagajewski1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Pisarczyk1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZagajewski5wins
AwayPisarczyk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZagajewski80%4 of 5
AwayPisarczyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zagajewski5Pisarczyk4n = 9Zagajewski took 5 of 9
S2Zagajewski3Pisarczyk6n = 9Pisarczyk took 6 of 9
S3Zagajewski3Pisarczyk6n = 9Pisarczyk took 6 of 9
S4Zagajewski3Pisarczyk2n = 5Zagajewski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZagajewskiPisarczykZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match33.033.9−0.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZagajewskiPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 713 vs 144 / 35749.4%40.3%352 / 713 vs 144 / 357Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZagajewskiZagajewski 1.82/Pisarczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zagajewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pisarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 6 · 06:00M. Zagajewski—1111113T. Pisarczyk—9270
LMar 20 · 20:20M. Zagajewski—101030T. Pisarczyk—1212113
WNov 28 · 11:10M. Zagajewski—11911113T. Pisarczyk—711561
LNov 28 · 06:40M. Zagajewski—5970T. Pisarczyk—1111113
LNov 21 · 13:15M. Zagajewski—5540T. Pisarczyk—1111113
WNov 21 · 07:05M. Zagajewski—117911113T. Pisarczyk—71111942
LNov 6 · 12:35M. Zagajewski—11115782T. Pisarczyk—481111113
LMay 1 · 09:00M. Zagajewski—871191T. Pisarczyk—11114113
WMay 1 · 04:30M. Zagajewski—11115113T. Pisarczyk—671191
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113WSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122LAug 30 · 14:35M. Zagajewski2.3571161172D. Solilo1.50119116113
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
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