TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087446
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Michalczyk
Home
1.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711118117––
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Michalczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
116711118117––
H2H Jakub Michalczyk 1–0 Tomasz Pisarczyk Tomasz Pisarczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:00What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Michalczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Michalczyk 1417 vs Pisarczyk 1330
Michalczyk
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalczyk 60% vs Pisarczyk 80%
Pisarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalczyk 60% vs Pisarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalczyk +2 · Pisarczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Michalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisarczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalczyk 1.63 / Pisarczyk 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Michalczyk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087446
Michalczyk1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 24 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Pisarczyk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMichalczyk1wins
AwayPisarczyk0wins
Michalczyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMichalczykPisarczykM − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.032.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalczykPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 352 vs 145 / 35852.8%40.5%186 / 352 vs 145 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalczykMichalczyk 1.63/Pisarczyk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Michalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk—11711113T. Pisarczyk—611871
J. Michalczyk10
LSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182LSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113
T. Pisarczyk10
WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
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