TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082287
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Michalczyk
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161191012811119
Adrian Myszewski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Michalczyk to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1161191012811119
H2H Jakub Michalczyk 3–2 Adrian Myszewski Adrian Myszewski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Michalczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalczyk 1395 vs Myszewski 1257
Michalczyk
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalczyk 60% vs Myszewski 20%
Michalczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalczyk 60% vs Myszewski 30%
Michalczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalczyk +3 · Myszewski +1
Michalczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Michalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalczyk 1.54 / Myszewski 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Michalczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082287
Michalczyk1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 24 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Myszewski2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 60 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMichalczyk3wins
AwayMyszewski2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMichalczyk leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalczyk50%2 of 4
AwayMyszewskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalczyk4Myszewski1n = 5Michalczyk took 4 of 5
S2Michalczyk3Myszewski2n = 5Michalczyk took 3 of 5
S3Michalczyk1Myszewski4n = 5Myszewski took 4 of 5
S4Michalczyk3Myszewski2n = 5Michalczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMichalczykMyszewskiMichalczyk − MyszewskiBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.440.0+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalczykMyszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 348 vs 435 / 88752.6%49%183 / 348 vs 435 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalczykMichalczyk 1.54/Myszewski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Michalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Michalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 15 · 19:40J. Michalczyk—11110113A. Myszewski—571191
LJan 26 · 11:35J. Michalczyk—1110111182A. Myszewski—912136113
LNov 8 · 12:00J. Michalczyk—1168111A. Myszewski—51111133
WNov 1 · 15:20J. Michalczyk—2121110113A. Myszewski—111051252
WOct 9 · 13:25J. Michalczyk—11127113A. Myszewski—8101151
J. Michalczyk10
LSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182LSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113
A. Myszewski10
WSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113WSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 12:40A. Myszewski2.5011108111M. Minda1.4681211133
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