TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088520
Played Sep 6Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115116––––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
118115116––––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 16–25 Aleksander Lilien Adrian Myszewski has won 16 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Lilien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-25 in 41
Lilien
Wrong
gap of 9 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1240 vs Lilien 1463
Lilien
Wrong
both rated, 224 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 20% vs Lilien 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 20% vs Lilien 40%
Lilien
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -3 · Lilien -1
Myszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (20%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 2.30 / Lilien 1.52
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Lilien)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13088520
Myszewski2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 60 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Lilien1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 254 of 425
Up 2–0, closes it96% 130 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it77% 192 of 248
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski4wins
AwayLilien6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLilien leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski40%2 of 5
AwayLilien60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S2Myszewski4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S3Myszewski4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S4Myszewski4Lilien4n = 8split evenly
S5Myszewski2Lilien2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiLilienM − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.0−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 890 vs 830 / 153648.9%54%435 / 890 vs 830 / 1536Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienMyszewski 2.30/Lilien 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.4%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:25A. Myszewski—12891182A. Lilien—1011118113
LAug 17 · 13:30A. Myszewski—1110911142A. Lilien—512115163
LAug 14 · 13:55A. Myszewski—12101251A. Lilien—141210113
LAug 7 · 09:50A. Myszewski—1156111A. Lilien—41111133
LMay 28 · 12:40A. Myszewski—861161A. Lilien—11118113
WMay 28 · 08:35A. Myszewski—7111011113A. Lilien—11912892
WMay 27 · 10:35A. Myszewski—111174113A. Lilien—79111182
WMay 19 · 07:20A. Myszewski—41111113A. Lilien—112681
WMay 15 · 05:15A. Myszewski—1111113A. Lilien—3850
LMay 12 · 08:10A. Myszewski—11880A. Lilien—1311113
A. Myszewski10
WSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640LSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 12:40A. Myszewski2.5011108111M. Minda1.4681211133
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113LSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
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