TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089595
Played Sep 6Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811911911––
Adam Linek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:45 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
117811911911––
H2H Aleksander Lilien 79–47 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 47 of their 126 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Lilien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
79-47 in 126
Lilien
Wrong
gap of 32 in 126, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1438 vs Linek 1447
Linek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 40% vs Linek 60%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 40% vs Linek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien -1 · Linek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lilien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.66 / Linek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Lilien)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13089595
Lilien1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 254 of 425
Up 2–0, closes it96% 130 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it77% 192 of 248
Linek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 167 of 404
Down 0–1, comes back25% 55 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLilien4wins
AwayLinek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLinek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien60%3 of 5
AwayLinek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien5Linek5n = 10split evenly
S2Lilien7Linek3n = 10Lilien took 7 of 10
S3Lilien3Linek7n = 10Linek took 7 of 10
S4Lilien4Linek5n = 9Linek took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLilienLinekLilien − LinekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.0−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime832 / 1541 vs 771 / 165854%46.5%832 / 1541 vs 771 / 1658Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLilien 1.66/Linek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.3%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien—118991A. Linek—71111113
WAug 25 · 11:25A. Lilien—1211113A. Linek—10750
LAug 14 · 10:35A. Lilien—911791A. Linek—11911113
WAug 14 · 04:00A. Lilien—41111113A. Linek—118771
LAug 9 · 21:55A. Lilien—681191A. Linek—11117113
WAug 9 · 16:15A. Lilien—11116113A. Linek—381171
LJul 19 · 23:20A. Lilien—714371A. Linek—111211113
WJul 19 · 21:00A. Lilien—11115113A. Linek—891161
LJul 19 · 15:00A. Lilien—1198121A. Linek—51111143
LJul 18 · 08:05A. Lilien—71151152A. Linek—117114113
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113LSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
A. Linek10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WAug 25 · 13:55A. Linek2.251111412113A. Sobel1.5426111482WAug 25 · 12:40A. Linek2.23911116113P. Blocho1.5611941142LAug 25 · 11:25A. Linek2.1510750A. Lilien1.601211113LAug 25 · 10:10L. Pietraszko1.37118811113A. Linek2.7571111792WAug 25 · 09:25A. Linek1.951211113B. Czerwinski1.7510590LAug 25 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.501161111163A. Linek2.35911813142LAug 25 · 07:20A. Linek1.861365151K. Rudomina1.83111111173
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