TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088880
Played Sep 6Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118118––––
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
113118118––––
H2H Aleksander Lilien 11–9 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Lilien
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1455 vs Trela 1342
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 40% vs Trela 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 50% vs Trela 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien +1 · Trela -3
Trela
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lilien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.47 / Trela 2.45
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lilien)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13088880
Lilien1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 254 of 425
Up 2–0, closes it96% 130 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it77% 192 of 248
Trela2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 172 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back27% 57 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLilien6wins
AwayTrela4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLilien leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien85.7%6 of 7
AwayTrela100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien7Trela3n = 10Lilien took 7 of 10
S2Lilien4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Lilien5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S4Lilien4Trela3n = 7Lilien took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLilienTrelaL − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.4+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime831 / 1538 vs 803 / 164454%48.8%831 / 1538 vs 803 / 1644Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLilien 1.47/Trela 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:00A. Lilien—9890M. Trela—1111113
WAug 18 · 07:40A. Lilien—111111113M. Trela—871381
WJul 27 · 06:05A. Lilien—1111113M. Trela—7680
LJul 9 · 09:25A. Lilien—811791M. Trela—11811113
WJun 11 · 12:35A. Lilien—111157113M. Trela—95111172
LJun 10 · 13:00A. Lilien—13411992M. Trela—1111511113
WJun 10 · 07:30A. Lilien—11911113M. Trela—811761
WJun 10 · 05:00A. Lilien—11911113M. Trela—411741
WMar 14 · 06:25A. Lilien—11311113M. Trela—611671
LMar 14 · 04:00A. Lilien—9750M. Trela—1111113
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113LSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
Upcoming Matches
A. Lilien
Nothing scheduled
M. Trela
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