TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088102
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111012117117117
Jakub Michalczyk
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
4111012117117117
H2H Mateusz Trela 2–2 Jakub Michalczyk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:46What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Michalczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1362 vs Michalczyk 1407
Michalczyk
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Michalczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Michalczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Michalczyk +3
Michalczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Michalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 2.60 / Michalczyk 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Michalczyk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13088102
Trela2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 172 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back27% 57 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Michalczyk1.42
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 24 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTrela2wins
AwayMichalczyk2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela50%2 of 4
AwayMichalczykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela4Michalczyk0n = 4Trela took 4 of 4
S2Trela0Michalczyk4n = 4Michalczyk took 4 of 4
S3Trela1Michalczyk3n = 4Michalczyk took 3 of 4
S4Trela1Michalczyk3n = 4Michalczyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTrelaMichalczykT − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match46.548.8−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaMichalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime802 / 1640 vs 183 / 34748.9%52.7%802 / 1640 vs 183 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalczykTrela 2.60/Michalczyk 1.42
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Michalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJan 24 · 10:20M. Trela—119911133J. Michalczyk—811117112
WNov 8 · 16:30M. Trela—13121114103J. Michalczyk—111481672
LSep 22 · 10:30M. Trela—11117171J. Michalczyk—81311193
LSep 14 · 14:15M. Trela—116641J. Michalczyk—71111113
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
J. Michalczyk10
LSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113
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