TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088618
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Michalczyk
Home
2.21
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811112911811––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
811112911811––
H2H Jakub Michalczyk 2–4 Bartosz Sulkowski Jakub Michalczyk has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalczyk 1429 vs Sulkowski 1435
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalczyk 80% vs Sulkowski 60%
Michalczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalczyk 70% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalczyk +2 · Sulkowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalczyk 2.21 / Sulkowski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sulkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13088618
Michalczyk2.21
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 27 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Sulkowski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 211 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it98% 96 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 154 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMichalczyk2wins
AwaySulkowski4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSulkowski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulkowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalczyk2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
S2Michalczyk2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
S3Michalczyk3Sulkowski3n = 6split evenly
S4Michalczyk1Sulkowski3n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricMichalczykSulkowskiM − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.841.2−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalczykSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 351 vs 537 / 121653%44.2%186 / 351 vs 537 / 1216Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiMichalczyk 2.21/Sulkowski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 5 · 22:15J. Michalczyk—101114113B. Sulkowski—1291271
LSep 5 · 17:45J. Michalczyk—149981B. Sulkowski—121111113
LJun 3 · 09:00J. Michalczyk—4690B. Sulkowski—1111113
LMar 13 · 12:00J. Michalczyk—68110B. Sulkowski—1111133
LMar 3 · 14:30J. Michalczyk—611119102B. Sulkowski—119711123
WJan 24 · 16:50J. Michalczyk—1151112113B. Sulkowski—31181482
J. Michalczyk10
WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182LSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113WSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133
Upcoming Matches
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B. Sulkowski
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