TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084508
Played Sep 5Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411101213111113––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
411101213111113––
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 2–9 Bartosz Sulkowski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1256 vs Sulkowski 1432
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 20% vs Sulkowski 80%
Sulkowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 30% vs Sulkowski 70%
Sulkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -1 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poloszczanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 2.95 / Sulkowski 1.35
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Sulkowski)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13084508
Poloszczanski2.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back23% 45 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Sulkowski1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 208 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it82% 151 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski2wins
AwaySulkowski8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski25%1 of 4
AwaySulkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Poloszczanski3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Poloszczanski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Poloszczanski1Sulkowski8n = 9Sulkowski took 8 of 9
S5Poloszczanski2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiSulkowskiP − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.744.4−6.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 843 vs 533 / 120939.5%44.1%333 / 843 vs 533 / 1209Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiPoloszczanski 2.95/Sulkowski 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 16:15D. Poloszczanski—791181B. Sulkowski—11116113
LAug 24 · 24:10D. Poloszczanski—5830B. Sulkowski—1111113
LAug 23 · 19:20D. Poloszczanski—17613862B. Sulkowski—15111111113
LAug 23 · 24:10D. Poloszczanski—15118982B. Sulkowski—1381111113
LAug 22 · 18:55D. Poloszczanski—771271B. Sulkowski—111110113
WAug 8 · 22:15D. Poloszczanski—311811113B. Sulkowski—11611472
LAug 8 · 18:10D. Poloszczanski—6101161B. Sulkowski—11126113
LJul 25 · 15:00D. Poloszczanski—128651B. Sulkowski—101111113
LFeb 1 · 06:50D. Poloszczanski—711681B. Sulkowski—11911113
WFeb 1 · 04:20D. Poloszczanski—129146113B. Sulkowski—1011121182
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113LSep 5 · 24:35K. Sulkowski1.8511118113D. Poloszczanski1.85681171WSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181
Upcoming Matches
D. Poloszczanski
Nothing scheduled
B. Sulkowski
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