TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084913
Played Sep 5Finished
Karol Kufel
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113112116––––
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKarol Kufel to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
44 points played in total.
Set by set
113112116––––
H2H Karol Kufel 1–0 Dawid Poloszczanski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Kufel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kufel 1437 vs Poloszczanski 1250
Kufel
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kufel 60% vs Poloszczanski 20%
Kufel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kufel 50% vs Poloszczanski 20%
Kufel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kufel -2 · Poloszczanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kufel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poloszczanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKufel 1.60 / Poloszczanski 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kufel)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13084913
Kufel1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Poloszczanski2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back23% 45 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKufel1wins
AwayPoloszczanski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKufel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKufelPoloszczanskiK − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match53.048.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKufelPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 13 vs 333 / 84453.9%39.5%7 / 13 vs 333 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KufelKufel 1.60/Poloszczanski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Kufel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kufel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 17:20K. Kufel—1310118113D. Poloszczanski—111251192
K. Kufel10
WSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113LSep 5 · 22:55K. Kufel1.8511991152J. Michalczyk1.85811118113LSep 5 · 21:05K. Kufel—611921B. Sulkowski—11311113WSep 5 · 20:05J. Michalczyk—711771K. Kufel—11911113WSep 5 · 19:20A. Lilien—1111561K. Kufel—13911113WSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113WSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—1111123K. Kufel—66100LAug 30 · 19:40S. Brud—1112113K. Kufel—61090WAug 30 · 18:55M. Trela—961191K. Kufel—11118113
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113LSep 5 · 24:35K. Sulkowski1.8511118113D. Poloszczanski1.85681171WSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113
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