TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084915
Played Sep 5Finished
Karol Kufel
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911911118511
Jakub Michalczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Kufel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
118911911118511
H2H Karol Kufel 1–0 Jakub Michalczyk Jakub Michalczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Michalczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kufel 1474 vs Michalczyk 1360
Kufel
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kufel 80% vs Michalczyk 20%
Kufel
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kufel 50% vs Michalczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kufel -1 · Michalczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kufel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKufel 1.85 / Michalczyk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kufel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13084915
Kufel1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Michalczyk1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKufel1wins
AwayMichalczyk0wins
Kufel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKufelMichalczykK − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKufelMichalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 12 vs 177 / 33958.3%52.2%7 / 12 vs 177 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KufelKufel 1.85/Michalczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kufel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Michalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 20:05K. Kufel—11911113J. Michalczyk—711771
K. Kufel10
WSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113WSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 21:05K. Kufel—611921B. Sulkowski—11311113WSep 5 · 20:05J. Michalczyk—711771K. Kufel—11911113WSep 5 · 19:20A. Lilien—1111561K. Kufel—13911113WSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113WSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—1111123K. Kufel—66100LAug 30 · 19:40S. Brud—1112113K. Kufel—61090WAug 30 · 18:55M. Trela—961191K. Kufel—11118113
J. Michalczyk10
LSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182LSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 5 · 20:05J. Michalczyk—711771K. Kufel—11911113
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