TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079714
Played Sep 4Finished
Stanislaw Wnek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211311––––
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
1.77
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Poloszczanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
711211311––––
H2H Stanislaw Wnek 4–3 Dawid Poloszczanski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Poloszczanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wnek 1194 vs Poloszczanski 1279
Poloszczanski
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wnek 40% vs Poloszczanski 60%
Poloszczanski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wnek 30% vs Poloszczanski 60%
Poloszczanski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wnek +1 · Poloszczanski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poloszczanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wnek form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWnek 1.90 / Poloszczanski 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Poloszczanski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13079714
Wnek1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 87
Poloszczanski1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWnek4wins
AwayPoloszczanski3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderWnek leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWnek75%3 of 4
AwayPoloszczanski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wnek4Poloszczanski3n = 7Wnek took 4 of 7
S2Wnek2Poloszczanski5n = 7Poloszczanski took 5 of 7
S3Wnek6Poloszczanski1n = 7Wnek took 6 of 7
S4Wnek2Poloszczanski4n = 6Poloszczanski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricWnekPoloszczanskiW − PBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.637.7+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWnekPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime703 / 1384 vs 331 / 83550.8%39.6%703 / 1384 vs 331 / 835Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiWnek 1.90/Poloszczanski 1.77
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJun 3 · 01:35S. Wnek—7411101D. Poloszczanski—11116123
WJun 2 · 23:05S. Wnek—1111143D. Poloszczanski—79120
WJun 2 · 20:15S. Wnek—11711113D. Poloszczanski—411991
LJun 2 · 02:20S. Wnek—1110851D. Poloszczanski—61211113
WJun 1 · 23:55S. Wnek—9111110113D. Poloszczanski—11571272
LJun 1 · 21:10S. Wnek—5101471D. Poloszczanski—111212113
WDec 17 · 15:15S. Wnek—11513113D. Poloszczanski—7111161
S. Wnek10
LSep 5 · 24:10K. Golaszewski1.8611137123S. Wnek1.8081111101LSep 4 · 23:45S. Wnek1.80881191K. Sulkowski1.8511116113WSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162WSep 4 · 19:20K. Golaszewski1.786930S. Wnek1.891111113LSep 4 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski1.7611115133S. Wnek1.957711111LSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111LSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650WSep 3 · 08:10K. Klocek1.651161211102S. Wnek2.05911144123LSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113WSep 4 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski1.7611115133S. Wnek1.957711111
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