TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069539
Played Sep 3Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111151513118––
Stanislaw Wnek
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:18 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
9111151513118––
H2H Rafal Stapor 15–11 Stanislaw Wnek Stanislaw Wnek has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Stapor
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1469 vs Wnek 1163
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 306 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 80% vs Wnek 20%
Stapor
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 70% vs Wnek 20%
Stapor
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +2 · Wnek -3
Wnek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wnek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.38 / Wnek 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13069539
Stapor1.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 419 of 661
Up 2–0, closes it96% 206 of 214
Up 1–0, closes it82% 322 of 392
Wnek2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 124 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor4wins
AwayWnek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWnek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor50%2 of 4
AwayWnek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Wnek6n = 10Wnek took 6 of 10
S2Stapor7Wnek3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S3Stapor5Wnek5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor3Wnek5n = 8Wnek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporWnekS − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.1−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWnekBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1120 vs 703 / 138756.7%50.7%635 / 1120 vs 703 / 1387Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.38/Wnek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor—91115113S. Wnek—1151381
LJul 19 · 10:55R. Stapor—11118962S. Wnek—961111113
LJul 18 · 09:50R. Stapor—119681S. Wnek—51111113
LMay 27 · 20:15R. Stapor—791111S. Wnek—11118113
WMay 12 · 24:20R. Stapor—111111123S. Wnek—9513101
LMay 11 · 21:55R. Stapor—11060S. Wnek—1112113
LMay 11 · 16:00R. Stapor—411781S. Wnek—11511113
WMay 6 · 02:20R. Stapor—101111113S. Wnek—128661
LMay 5 · 23:55R. Stapor—91111782S. Wnek—115811113
WMay 5 · 01:10R. Stapor—1411123S. Wnek—128100
R. Stapor10
WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961WSep 3 · 06:05B. Sulkowski1.8094100R. Stapor1.861111123WSep 3 · 04:55K. Klocek2.006101161R. Stapor1.7011125113LSep 3 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski3.60111111113R. Stapor1.26713891WSep 2 · 14:20K. Rudomina1.411213781R. Stapor2.60141111113
S. Wnek10
LSep 5 · 24:10K. Golaszewski1.8611137123S. Wnek1.8081111101LSep 4 · 23:45S. Wnek1.80881191K. Sulkowski1.8511116113LSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113WSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162WSep 4 · 19:20K. Golaszewski1.786930S. Wnek1.891111113LSep 4 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski1.7611115133S. Wnek1.957711111LSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111LSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650WSep 3 · 08:10K. Klocek1.651161211102S. Wnek2.05911144123
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
S. Wnek
Nothing scheduled
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