TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065827
Played Sep 3Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111178111012––
Jakub Witkowski
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
6111178111012––
H2H Rafal Stapor 0–2 Jakub Witkowski Rafal Stapor has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Witkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1474 vs Witkowski 1517
Witkowski
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Witkowski 20%
Stapor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Witkowski 20%
Stapor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Witkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.15 / Witkowski 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Witkowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13065827
Stapor2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 105 of 280
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Witkowski1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStapor0wins
AwayWitkowski2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderWitkowski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStaporWitkowskiS − WBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.546.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime634 / 1117 vs 392 / 84056.8%46.7%634 / 1117 vs 392 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiStapor 2.15/Witkowski 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 26 · 21:45R. Stapor—913961J. Witkowski—111111113
LJun 25 · 17:20R. Stapor—111171122J. Witkowski—761113113
R. Stapor10
WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961WSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381WSep 3 · 06:05B. Sulkowski1.8094100R. Stapor1.861111123WSep 3 · 04:55K. Klocek2.006101161R. Stapor1.7011125113LSep 3 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski3.60111111113R. Stapor1.26713891WSep 2 · 14:20K. Rudomina1.411213781R. Stapor2.60141111113
J. Witkowski10
LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182LSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143WSep 3 · 11:00A. Lilien2.2014116462J. Witkowski1.601291111113LSep 3 · 09:25A. Mugowski2.451114913113J. Witkowski1.47812111592LSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
J. Witkowski
Nothing scheduled
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