TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065822
Played Sep 3Finished
Josef Braun
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111381114121113––
Jakub Witkowski
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Jakub Witkowski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 93 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Josef Braun at 62.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 2–0 Jakub Witkowski Jakub Witkowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Braun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Braun 1777 vs Witkowski 1510
Braun
Wrong
both rated, 267 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 60% vs Witkowski 20%
Braun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 70% vs Witkowski 30%
Braun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun -1 · Witkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Braun) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 1.20 / Witkowski 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Braun)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13065822
Braun1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 138 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it89% 74 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 141
Witkowski4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 75 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back16% 20 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBraun2wins
AwayWitkowski0wins
Braun leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBraunWitkowskiB − WBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.023.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 954 vs 395 / 84752.2%46.6%498 / 954 vs 395 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunBraun 1.20/Witkowski 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 1 · 19:00J. Braun—1111113J. Witkowski—7920
WJun 23 · 09:55J. Braun—61111113J. Witkowski—115571
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581
J. Witkowski10
LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182LSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143WSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123WSep 3 · 11:00A. Lilien2.2014116462J. Witkowski1.601291111113LSep 3 · 09:25A. Mugowski2.451114913113J. Witkowski1.47812111592LSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790
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