TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065826
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Witkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7119111214––––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
7119111214––––
H2H Jakub Witkowski 2–11 Bartosz Czerwinski Jakub Witkowski has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-11 in 13
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1509 vs Czerwinski 1435
Witkowski
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 40% vs Czerwinski 60%
Czerwinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 20% vs Czerwinski 50%
Czerwinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski +2 · Czerwinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.80 / Czerwinski 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Czerwinski)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065826
Witkowski1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Czerwinski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 27 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski2wins
AwayCzerwinski8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski0%0 of 3
AwayCzerwinski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski3Czerwinski7n = 10Czerwinski took 7 of 10
S2Witkowski2Czerwinski8n = 10Czerwinski took 8 of 10
S3Witkowski3Czerwinski7n = 10Czerwinski took 7 of 10
S4Witkowski6Czerwinski1n = 7Witkowski took 6 of 7
S5Witkowski2Czerwinski5n = 7Czerwinski took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiCzerwinskiW − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.647.6−3.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 842 vs 495 / 106746.7%46.4%393 / 842 vs 495 / 1067Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiWitkowski 1.80/Czerwinski 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski—79120B. Czerwinski—1111143
LDec 11 · 10:30J. Witkowski—121471472B. Czerwinski—10161112113
WNov 13 · 16:30J. Witkowski—9111120113B. Czerwinski—111331882
LNov 13 · 15:45J. Witkowski—812111192B. Czerwinski—111476113
LNov 10 · 13:45J. Witkowski—87150B. Czerwinski—1111173
WNov 3 · 16:05J. Witkowski—6111111113B. Czerwinski—11513992
LOct 17 · 08:20J. Witkowski—11136922B. Czerwinski—6111111113
LOct 16 · 11:05J. Witkowski—811100B. Czerwinski—1113123
LOct 9 · 10:40J. Witkowski—1591011102B. Czerwinski—1311128123
LSep 29 · 09:30J. Witkowski—810111252B. Czerwinski—1112610113
J. Witkowski10
LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182WSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123WSep 3 · 11:00A. Lilien2.2014116462J. Witkowski1.601291111113LSep 3 · 09:25A. Mugowski2.451114913113J. Witkowski1.47812111592LSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 14:20A. Lilien2.05116117102B. Czerwinski1.66511711123LSep 3 · 11:25A. Mugowski2.008111111113B. Czerwinski1.7011791342WSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113LSep 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.7011711113B. Czerwinski2.00711561WSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.88611911113K. Rudomina1.7911711582
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