TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065828
Played Sep 3Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412119611411611
Jakub Witkowski
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1412119611411611
H2H Aleksander Lilien 2–4 Jakub Witkowski Aleksander Lilien has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Witkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Witkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1527 vs Witkowski 1506
Lilien
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 60% vs Witkowski 0%
Lilien
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 60% vs Witkowski 10%
Lilien
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien -1 · Witkowski -5
Witkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 2.20 / Witkowski 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Witkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13065828
Lilien2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 90 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Witkowski1.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLilien2wins
AwayWitkowski4wins
4 of 6 to a deciderWitkowski leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilienn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWitkowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien2Witkowski4n = 6Witkowski took 4 of 6
S2Lilien3Witkowski3n = 6split evenly
S3Lilien5Witkowski1n = 6Lilien took 5 of 6
S4Lilien2Witkowski4n = 6Witkowski took 4 of 6
S5Lilien1Witkowski3n = 4Witkowski took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLilienWitkowskiL − WBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match43.846.3−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime831 / 1534 vs 392 / 84054.2%46.7%831 / 1534 vs 392 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiLilien 2.20/Witkowski 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 11:00A. Lilien—14116462J. Witkowski—1291111113
WApr 16 · 09:50A. Lilien—91111113J. Witkowski—116751
LFeb 4 · 11:35A. Lilien—781181J. Witkowski—11118113
LDec 21 · 20:05A. Lilien—111411542J. Witkowski—816311113
LApr 17 · 01:00A. Lilien—581114132J. Witkowski—1111812153
WApr 16 · 22:35A. Lilien—711129113J. Witkowski—118101182
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
J. Witkowski10
LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182LSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143WSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 09:25A. Mugowski2.451114913113J. Witkowski1.47812111592LSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790
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