TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065829
Played Sep 3Finished
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Home
2.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11814129111315119
Jakub Witkowski
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Witkowski to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
113 points played in total.
Set by set
11814129111315119
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 1–10 Jakub Witkowski Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:51What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mugowski 1406 vs Witkowski 1507
Witkowski
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mugowski 40% vs Witkowski 0%
Mugowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mugowski 50% vs Witkowski 10%
Mugowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mugowski +1 · Witkowski -5
Witkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 2.45 / Witkowski 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Witkowski)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13065829
Mugowski2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 211 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back26% 79 of 308
Down 0–2, comes back12% 21 of 170
Witkowski1.47
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMugowski1wins
AwayWitkowski9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMugowski0%0 of 3
AwayWitkowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mugowski3Witkowski7n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S2Mugowski6Witkowski4n = 10Mugowski took 6 of 10
S3Mugowski2Witkowski8n = 10Witkowski took 8 of 10
S4Mugowski2Witkowski6n = 8Witkowski took 6 of 8
S5Mugowski1Witkowski4n = 5Witkowski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMugowskiWitkowskiM − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.644.3−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime950 / 2070 vs 391 / 83845.9%46.7%950 / 2070 vs 391 / 838Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiMugowski 2.45/Witkowski 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mugowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 4 · 01:00A. Mugowski—123781J. Witkowski—101111113
LJun 3 · 22:35A. Mugowski—131111882J. Witkowski—159411113
LJun 3 · 20:30A. Mugowski—8114111J. Witkowski—11811133
LMar 26 · 24:45A. Mugowski—7790J. Witkowski—1111113
WMar 25 · 22:20A. Mugowski—611711113J. Witkowski—11411952
LMar 25 · 18:45A. Mugowski—113111052J. Witkowski—811612113
LFeb 17 · 02:00A. Mugowski—51080J. Witkowski—1112113
LFeb 16 · 23:35A. Mugowski—1411871J. Witkowski—16811113
LFeb 16 · 21:30A. Mugowski—11115652J. Witkowski—991111113
LNov 26 · 16:50A. Mugowski—91391372J. Witkowski—11111111113
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770
J. Witkowski10
LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182LSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143WSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123WSep 3 · 11:00A. Lilien2.2014116462J. Witkowski1.601291111113LSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790
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