TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075716
Played Sep 4Finished
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
811811911––––
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 0–2 Dominik Solilo Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mugowski 1398 vs Solilo 1617
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mugowski 20% vs Solilo 60%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mugowski 40% vs Solilo 80%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mugowski -3 · Solilo -1
Mugowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 2.60 / Solilo 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Solilo)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13075716
Mugowski2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 215 of 517
Down 0–1, comes back26% 80 of 311
Down 0–2, comes back12% 21 of 171
Solilo1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 114 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMugowski0wins
AwaySolilo2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSolilo leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMugowskiSoliloM − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.049.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime948 / 2069 vs 206 / 45045.8%45.8%948 / 2069 vs 206 / 450Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloMugowski 2.60/Solilo 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 21 · 13:05A. Mugowski—141113572D. Solilo—1251511113
LAug 2 · 04:25A. Mugowski—8111101D. Solilo—11913113
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770LSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123
D. Solilo10
WSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113WSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113WSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572LSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.3611811113D. Solilo3.00711951WSep 4 · 05:15A. Lilien1.9071190D. Solilo1.801113113WSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda1.5411860D. Solilo2.251311113LSep 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak1.6011116113D. Solilo2.10671141WSep 3 · 07:40D. Solilo1.9791111113J. Zochniak1.71117881
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