TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075502
Played Sep 4Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113911––––
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:09 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
7111113911––––
H2H Aleksander Lilien 7–6 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1486 vs Solilo 1609
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 20% vs Solilo 80%
Solilo
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 40% vs Solilo 80%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien -3 · Solilo -1
Lilien
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.90 / Solilo 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solilo)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13075502
Lilien1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 90
Solilo1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 114 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLilien6wins
AwaySolilo4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLilien leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien71.4%5 of 7
AwaySolilon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien7Solilo2n = 9Lilien took 7 of 9
S2Lilien5Solilo4n = 9Lilien took 5 of 9
S3Lilien5Solilo4n = 9Lilien took 5 of 9
S4Lilien5Solilo2n = 7Lilien took 5 of 7
S5Lilien1Solilo2n = 3Solilo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLilienSoliloL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match41.937.4+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime829 / 1535 vs 204 / 44754%45.6%829 / 1535 vs 204 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloLilien 1.90/Solilo 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 17 · 24:35A. Lilien—111111113D. Solilo—713391
WAug 16 · 18:30A. Lilien—1113113D. Solilo—71160
LAug 14 · 03:00A. Lilien—11871192D. Solilo—811119113
WAug 12 · 14:20A. Lilien—11911113D. Solilo—711291
WAug 7 · 04:25A. Lilien—11811113D. Solilo—911991
LJul 20 · 13:30A. Lilien—6115131D. Solilo—11511153
LJul 17 · 09:50A. Lilien—111161052D. Solilo—891112113
WJul 16 · 11:25A. Lilien—9111113143D. Solilo—1131311122
WJul 9 · 13:55A. Lilien—1111113D. Solilo—8580
A. Lilien10
LSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.201111113A. Lilien3.953670WSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113LSep 8 · 04:25S. Brud1.85101111113A. Lilien1.85129681WSep 8 · 03:00A. Sobel1.707101131A. Lilien1.9511127113LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880
D. Solilo10
WSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113WSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113WSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.3611811113D. Solilo3.00711951WSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda1.5411860D. Solilo2.251311113LSep 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak1.6011116113D. Solilo2.10671141WSep 3 · 07:40D. Solilo1.9791111113J. Zochniak1.71117881
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