TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094799
Played Sep 8Finished
Miroslav Sklensky
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113116117––––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
3.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sklensky to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
113116117––––
H2H Miroslav Sklensky 3–0 Aleksander Lilien Aleksander Lilien has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (77%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sklensky 1804 vs Lilien 1437
Sklensky
Correct
both rated, 367 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sklensky 100% vs Lilien 40%
Sklensky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sklensky 80% vs Lilien 40%
Sklensky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sklensky +5 · Lilien +1
Sklensky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSklensky 1.20 / Lilien 3.95
Signal prob.80% / 21%
Edge (Sklensky)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13094799
Sklensky1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 233 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it96% 126 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it84% 169 of 202
Lilien3.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSklensky3wins
AwayLilien0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSklensky leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sklensky2Lilien1n = 3Sklensky took 2 of 3
S2Sklensky2Lilien1n = 3Sklensky took 2 of 3
S3Sklensky3Lilien0n = 3Sklensky took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSklenskyLilienS − LBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.325.7+14.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSklenskyLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime689 / 1151 vs 831 / 154159.9%53.9%689 / 1151 vs 831 / 1541Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskySklensky 1.20/Lilien 3.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.5%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 07:15M. Sklensky—1111113A. Lilien—3670
WApr 20 · 06:35M. Sklensky—12101111113A. Lilien—14126582
WOct 6 · 06:35M. Sklensky—1111113A. Lilien—8260
M. Sklensky10
LSep 8 · 08:30A. Sobel3.50811811113M. Sklensky1.2511411592WSep 8 · 06:00S. Brud4.0010450M. Sklensky1.211211113WSep 8 · 04:50M. Minda4.28731191M. Sklensky1.1411118113WSep 8 · 03:20B. Czerwinski4.056770M. Sklensky1.171111113WSep 7 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.4411129113G. Poliniewicz2.507101151WSep 7 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.35711911113K. Wisniewski2.9511211432LSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:05K. Strowski1.43119116123M. Sklensky2.60911511102WSep 7 · 09:20M. Sklensky2.301371110123K. Glazowski1.531111712102WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171
A. Lilien10
WSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113WSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113LSep 8 · 04:25S. Brud1.85101111113A. Lilien1.85129681WSep 8 · 03:00A. Sobel1.707101131A. Lilien1.9511127113LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560
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