TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093890
Played Sep 8Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012119116118––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:42 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1012119116118––
H2H Szymon Brud 6–4 Aleksander Lilien Aleksander Lilien has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Lilien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Brud
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1493 vs Lilien 1416
Brud
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 60% vs Lilien 40%
Brud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 80% vs Lilien 40%
Brud
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud -1 · Lilien +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brud) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.85 / Lilien 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brud)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13093890
Brud1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lilien1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud6wins
AwayLilien4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrud leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud100%5 of 5
AwayLilien80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S2Brud5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S3Brud5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S4Brud3Lilien3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudLilienB − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.235.7−1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1194 vs 833 / 154251.7%54%617 / 1194 vs 833 / 1542Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudBrud 1.85/Lilien 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 14:40S. Brud—1111113A. Lilien—6840
LAug 17 · 14:20S. Brud—4480A. Lilien—1111113
WJun 19 · 10:55S. Brud—131326113A. Lilien—1111111152
WMay 6 · 13:30S. Brud—511811113A. Lilien—11811782
WApr 29 · 10:35S. Brud—11611143A. Lilien—4119121
LApr 29 · 07:20S. Brud—951181A. Lilien—11119113
WApr 28 · 14:40S. Brud—1411123A. Lilien—126100
LJan 6 · 18:45S. Brud—8660A. Lilien—1111113
LDec 21 · 20:50S. Brud—611781A. Lilien—11811113
WNov 28 · 14:10S. Brud—11511113A. Lilien—611781
S. Brud10
LSep 8 · 06:00S. Brud4.0010450M. Sklensky1.211211113LSep 8 · 03:40M. Minda1.821111113S. Brud1.884840WSep 7 · 14:40A. Sobel1.77121112742S. Brud1.951091411113WSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781WSep 7 · 12:15M. Zwolinski3.401011731S. Brud1.2612911113LSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133
A. Lilien10
WSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113WSep 8 · 03:00A. Sobel1.707101131A. Lilien1.9511127113LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123
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