TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092490
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101191214711411
Szymon Brud
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
12101191214711411
H2H Artur Sobel 12–8 Szymon Brud Szymon Brud has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Sobel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1545 vs Brud 1494
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Brud 80%
Brud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 60% vs Brud 80%
Brud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +2 · Brud +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.77 / Brud 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobel)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13092490
Sobel1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 174 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Brud1.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 54 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel6wins
AwayBrud4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel60%3 of 5
AwayBrud40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel5Brud5n = 10split evenly
S2Sobel6Brud4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Sobel8Brud2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S4Sobel2Brud5n = 7Brud took 5 of 7
S5Sobel2Brud2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelBrudS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.2+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1190 vs 621 / 120353.6%51.6%638 / 1190 vs 621 / 1203Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.77/Brud 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:30A. Sobel—991251S. Brud—111110113
WAug 18 · 13:30A. Sobel—41114133S. Brud—11512111
WAug 18 · 07:40A. Sobel—1011118113S. Brud—12641152
WAug 17 · 11:50A. Sobel—1111117123S. Brud—139611102
WAug 17 · 05:15A. Sobel—1114113S. Brud—71260
WAug 11 · 14:20A. Sobel—1111153S. Brud—98130
LAug 11 · 05:35A. Sobel—10330S. Brud—1211113
WAug 10 · 13:05A. Sobel—11511113S. Brud—711991
LAug 10 · 06:50A. Sobel—11711772S. Brud—411711113
LApr 27 · 18:55A. Sobel—111321072S. Brud—9111112113
A. Sobel10
WSep 7 · 13:05A. Sobel1.1414112113M. Zwolinski4.651271181WSep 7 · 11:50A. Sobel1.901110167133M. Minda1.809121411112LSep 7 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3065111192A. Szoltysek3.15111186113WSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781WSep 7 · 12:15M. Zwolinski3.401011731S. Brud1.2612911113LSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890
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