TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087956
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191012119811
Artur Sobel
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
7111191012119811
H2H Michal Minda 58–71 Artur Sobel Michal Minda has won 58 of their 129 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-71 in 129
Sobel
Correct
gap of 13 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1532 vs Sobel 1522
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 80% vs Sobel 20%
Minda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 90% vs Sobel 40%
Minda
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +3 · Sobel -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.95 / Sobel 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sobel)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13087956
Minda1.95
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 167 of 394
Down 0–1, comes back26% 55 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Sobel1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 173 of 313
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 123 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda5wins
AwaySobel5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda33.3%2 of 6
AwaySobel25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda6Sobel4n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S2Minda4Sobel6n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Minda6Sobel4n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S4Minda6Sobel4n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S5Minda2Sobel4n = 6Sobel took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaSobelM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.743.7−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime1024 / 2006 vs 632 / 118151.1%53.5%1024 / 2006 vs 632 / 1181Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelMinda 1.95/Sobel 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 04:50M. Minda—11115532A. Sobel—771111113
LAug 31 · 14:20M. Minda—118811122A. Sobel—711118143
WAug 31 · 06:25M. Minda—121111113A. Sobel—148791
WAug 25 · 05:35M. Minda—128116113A. Sobel—101171162
LAug 18 · 10:35M. Minda—11711892A. Sobel—711811113
WAug 18 · 06:00M. Minda—11114113A. Sobel—981191
LAug 17 · 06:25M. Minda—12881182A. Sobel—1011119113
LAug 11 · 09:00M. Minda—691191A. Sobel—11119113
WAug 11 · 03:40M. Minda—51111113A. Sobel—114891
WAug 10 · 03:00M. Minda—491111113A. Sobel—11116892
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120WSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113
A. Sobel10
WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942LSep 1 · 08:30S. Brud2.00111110113A. Sobel1.71991251WSep 1 · 07:15A. Sobel1.801212711123J. Zochniak1.911410117102WSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113
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