TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082628
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartosz Kwodawski
Home
2.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119611211––
Michal Minda
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
911119611211––
H2H Bartosz Kwodawski 3–19 Michal Minda Bartosz Kwodawski has won 3 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-19 in 22
Minda
Correct
gap of 16 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kwodawski 1367 vs Minda 1517
Minda
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwodawski 60% vs Minda 80%
Minda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwodawski 50% vs Minda 90%
Minda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwodawski +1 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwodawski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwodawski 2.90 / Minda 1.35
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Minda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13082628
Kwodawski2.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 43 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Minda1.35
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 293 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it80% 218 of 273
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKwodawski1wins
AwayMinda9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwodawski33.3%1 of 3
AwayMinda100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwodawski3Minda7n = 10Minda took 7 of 10
S2Kwodawski0Minda10n = 10Minda took 10 of 10
S3Kwodawski4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S4Kwodawski0Minda5n = 5Minda took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKwodawskiMindaK − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.038.3−11.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwodawskiMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 455 vs 1024 / 201042.2%51%192 / 455 vs 1024 / 2010Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaKwodawski 2.90/Minda 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 23 · 09:25B. Kwodawski—5711101M. Minda—11119123
LJun 11 · 15:00B. Kwodawski—871161M. Minda—11116113
LMay 14 · 09:00B. Kwodawski—9890M. Minda—1111113
LMar 15 · 19:35B. Kwodawski—124641M. Minda—101111113
LMar 15 · 15:45B. Kwodawski—66100M. Minda—1111123
WDec 30 · 13:15B. Kwodawski—116117113M. Minda—81141172
LOct 27 · 11:35B. Kwodawski—4460M. Minda—1111113
LAug 19 · 09:50B. Kwodawski—11611532M. Minda—811911113
LJul 15 · 18:55B. Kwodawski—5650M. Minda—1111113
LMay 22 · 14:20B. Kwodawski—10450M. Minda—1211113
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:55B. Sulkowski1.5311119113B. Kwodawski2.30671161WSep 5 · 18:10B. Kwodawski3.055111011113A. Lilien1.3111812872LSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:50J. Michalczyk1.78311812113B. Kwodawski1.93116111042WSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113WSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113LSep 5 · 10:55K. Klocek1.9511811113B. Kwodawski1.77911451LSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842WSep 2 · 14:40B. Kwodawski1.5711118113M. Zwolinski2.20491151
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120WSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113
Upcoming Matches
B. Kwodawski
Nothing scheduled
M. Minda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.