TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081959
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Wozniak
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611511––––
Bartosz Kwodawski
Away
1.81
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Kwodawski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1012611511––––
H2H Jakub Wozniak 7–9 Bartosz Kwodawski Jakub Wozniak has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (51%)
Kwodawski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kwodawski
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wozniak 1386 vs Kwodawski 1352
Wozniak
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wozniak 80% vs Kwodawski 40%
Wozniak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wozniak 50% vs Kwodawski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wozniak +4 · Kwodawski -2
Wozniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kwodawski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwodawski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWozniak 1.87 / Kwodawski 1.81
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kwodawski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13081959
Wozniak1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Kwodawski1.81
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 38 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWozniak4wins
AwayKwodawski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKwodawski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWozniak75%3 of 4
AwayKwodawski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wozniak4Kwodawski6n = 10Kwodawski took 6 of 10
S2Wozniak7Kwodawski3n = 10Wozniak took 7 of 10
S3Wozniak3Kwodawski7n = 10Kwodawski took 7 of 10
S4Wozniak2Kwodawski3n = 5Kwodawski took 3 of 5
S5Wozniak1Kwodawski2n = 3Kwodawski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWozniakKwodawskiW − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.836.7−2.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWozniakKwodawskiBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 612 vs 191 / 45447.6%42.1%291 / 612 vs 191 / 454Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KwodawskiWozniak 1.87/Kwodawski 1.81
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kwodawski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kwodawski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 14:40J. Wozniak—41161162B. Kwodawski—116119113
LAug 15 · 10:30J. Wozniak—61070B. Kwodawski—1112113
LFeb 21 · 16:30J. Wozniak—811761B. Kwodawski—11911113
WJan 31 · 12:25J. Wozniak—81111113B. Kwodawski—116771
WJun 25 · 16:15J. Wozniak—111167113B. Kwodawski—66111192
WMay 22 · 16:15J. Wozniak—1111113B. Kwodawski—5790
WMay 22 · 11:00J. Wozniak—1112113B. Kwodawski—91080
LMay 8 · 16:35J. Wozniak—111112782B. Kwodawski—981411113
LMay 1 · 20:30J. Wozniak—8740B. Kwodawski—1111113
LMay 1 · 13:55J. Wozniak—51170B. Kwodawski—1113113
J. Wozniak10
LSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120WSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123WSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:45K. Klocek1.87111171152J. Wozniak1.80751113113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Klocek1.87119211112J. Wozniak1.83811117133WSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571LSep 5 · 06:00J. Przewlocki2.001112123J. Wozniak1.71910100LSep 5 · 04:50M. Minda1.54111110123J. Wozniak2.256712101LSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LAug 29 · 14:20A. Szoltysek2.7014116113J. Wozniak1.401281161
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:55B. Sulkowski1.5311119113B. Kwodawski2.30671161WSep 5 · 18:10B. Kwodawski3.055111011113A. Lilien1.3111812872LSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:50J. Michalczyk1.78311812113B. Kwodawski1.93116111042WSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113LSep 5 · 10:55K. Klocek1.9511811113B. Kwodawski1.77911451LSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842WSep 2 · 14:40B. Kwodawski1.5711118113M. Zwolinski2.20491151
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