TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081537
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Wozniak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711911118117
Michal Minda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
119711911118117
H2H Jakub Wozniak 42–34 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 34 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-34 in 76
Wozniak
Correct
gap of 8 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wozniak 1371 vs Minda 1523
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wozniak 60% vs Minda 100%
Minda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wozniak 50% vs Minda 90%
Minda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wozniak +3 · Minda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWozniak 2.10 / Minda 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Minda)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13081537
Wozniak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Minda1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 293 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it80% 218 of 273
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWozniak6wins
AwayMinda4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWozniak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWozniak71.4%5 of 7
AwayMinda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wozniak7Minda3n = 10Wozniak took 7 of 10
S2Wozniak5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S3Wozniak6Minda4n = 10Wozniak took 6 of 10
S4Wozniak5Minda3n = 8Wozniak took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWozniakMindaW − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.2+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWozniakMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 612 vs 1024 / 201047.6%51%291 / 612 vs 1024 / 2010Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaWozniak 2.10/Minda 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wozniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 04:50J. Wozniak—6712101M. Minda—111110123
LAug 8 · 10:30J. Wozniak—81181162M. Minda—115116113
WAug 8 · 03:20J. Wozniak—1111113M. Minda—9990
WJun 20 · 08:05J. Wozniak—11119113M. Minda—921161
WJun 13 · 03:05J. Wozniak—11711153M. Minda—7118131
WJun 4 · 04:10J. Wozniak—91111113M. Minda—113881
WMar 22 · 11:10J. Wozniak—11711113M. Minda—911591
LFeb 28 · 04:00J. Wozniak—1151681M. Minda—61118113
LOct 9 · 06:30J. Wozniak—117971M. Minda—41111113
WOct 8 · 11:25J. Wozniak—1111113M. Minda—9590
J. Wozniak10
LSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120WSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113WSep 5 · 09:45K. Klocek1.87111171152J. Wozniak1.80751113113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Klocek1.87119211112J. Wozniak1.83811117133WSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571LSep 5 · 06:00J. Przewlocki2.001112123J. Wozniak1.71910100LSep 5 · 04:50M. Minda1.54111110123J. Wozniak2.256712101LSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LAug 29 · 14:20A. Szoltysek2.7014116113J. Wozniak1.401281161
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120WSep 5 · 04:50M. Minda1.54111110123J. Wozniak2.256712101
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