TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081965
Played Sep 5Finished
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Michal Minda
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
911911811––––
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 74–79 Michal Minda Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 74 of their 153 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-79 in 153
Minda
Correct
gap of 5 in 153, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mugowski 1384 vs Minda 1507
Minda
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mugowski 20% vs Minda 80%
Minda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mugowski 30% vs Minda 90%
Minda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mugowski -1 · Minda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mugowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 2.60 / Minda 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Minda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081965
Mugowski2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 215 of 519
Down 0–1, comes back26% 80 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back12% 21 of 172
Minda1.42
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 293 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it80% 218 of 273
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMugowski3wins
AwayMinda7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMugowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayMinda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mugowski3Minda7n = 10Minda took 7 of 10
S2Mugowski4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S3Mugowski5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S4Mugowski1Minda4n = 5Minda took 4 of 5
S5Mugowski1Minda2n = 3Minda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMugowskiMindaMugowski − MindaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.136.4−4.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime944 / 2064 vs 1023 / 201045.7%50.9%944 / 2064 vs 1023 / 2010Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMugowski 2.60/Minda 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski—1111113M. Minda—6770
LAug 21 · 09:50A. Mugowski—7680M. Minda—1111113
LJun 26 · 10:35A. Mugowski—10650M. Minda—1211113
LJun 14 · 11:55A. Mugowski—10790M. Minda—1211113
WJun 11 · 17:20A. Mugowski—21112153M. Minda—11210131
LMay 31 · 07:10A. Mugowski—11511552M. Minda—711211113
LMay 16 · 05:45A. Mugowski—711591M. Minda—11811113
LMay 14 · 06:30A. Mugowski—10840M. Minda—1211113
LMay 13 · 12:40A. Mugowski—51111492M. Minda—119511113
WMay 5 · 04:30A. Mugowski—119117113M. Minda—51191172
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770LSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120LSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770
Upcoming Matches
A. Mugowski
Nothing scheduled
M. Minda
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