TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081167
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161191412––––
Dariusz Wrobel
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
1161191412––––
H2H Michal Minda 6–2 Dariusz Wrobel Dariusz Wrobel has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Minda
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1509 vs Wrobel 1293
Minda
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 100% vs Wrobel 20%
Minda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 80% vs Wrobel 30%
Minda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +5 · Wrobel -1
Minda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrobel form (20%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.45 / Wrobel 2.45
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Minda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13081167
Minda1.45
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 293 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it80% 218 of 273
Wrobel2.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 79 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMinda6wins
AwayWrobel2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderMinda leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda100%4 of 4
AwayWrobel50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda4Wrobel4n = 8split evenly
S2Minda6Wrobel2n = 8Minda took 6 of 8
S3Minda6Wrobel2n = 8Minda took 6 of 8
S4Minda2Wrobel4n = 6Wrobel took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMindaWrobelM − WBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.437.0+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime1024 / 2010 vs 556 / 115351%48.2%1024 / 2010 vs 556 / 1153Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.45/Wrobel 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.2%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 13 · 05:45M. Minda—1113113D. Wrobel—91180
LFeb 28 · 06:25M. Minda—8114121D. Wrobel—11911143
WDec 4 · 07:40M. Minda—611123113D. Wrobel—116101192
LDec 4 · 05:10M. Minda—981491D. Wrobel—111112113
WJul 30 · 05:50M. Minda—10111111113D. Wrobel—12981382
WJul 30 · 03:20M. Minda—11911113D. Wrobel—811741
WJul 9 · 06:15M. Minda—11118113D. Wrobel—891151
WJul 9 · 03:45M. Minda—1111113D. Wrobel—6570
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113WSep 5 · 05:35K. Klocek2.851271341M. Minda1.35141111113
D. Wrobel10
LSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571WSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113LSep 5 · 04:25J. Przewlocki1.801111113D. Wrobel1.864980LSep 5 · 03:00K. Klocek1.76111111113D. Wrobel1.90871361LAug 29 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.778911101K. Marchlewski1.9511119123LAug 29 · 06:30D. Wrobel2.18811311132T. Piotrowski1.58118119153LAug 29 · 05:15D. Wrobel1.71413891B. Wisniewski2.00111111113WAug 29 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.35131112862D. Wrobel1.501591011113LAug 29 · 03:25D. Wrobel1.85125118102J. Rolak1.851011811123WAug 26 · 08:10D. Wrobel2.3611611123B. Czerwinski1.508117101
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