TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040106
Played Aug 29Finished
Dariusz Wrobel
Home
1.77
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111191012––
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:35 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeDariusz Wrobel to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111191012––
H2H Dariusz Wrobel 8–15 Kacper Marchlewski Dariusz Wrobel has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:35What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Wrobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Marchlewski
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wrobel 1316 vs Marchlewski 1159
Wrobel
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wrobel 40% vs Marchlewski 0%
Wrobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wrobel 50% vs Marchlewski 10%
Wrobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wrobel -2 · Marchlewski -5
Marchlewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Wrobel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (0%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWrobel 1.77 / Marchlewski 1.95
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Wrobel)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13040106
Wrobel1.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 103 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 80 of 99
Marchlewski1.95
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWrobel4wins
AwayMarchlewski6wins
Marchlewski leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWrobel66.7%2 of 3
AwayMarchlewski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wrobel3Marchlewski7n = 10Marchlewski took 7 of 10
S2Wrobel4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S3Wrobel6Marchlewski4n = 10Wrobel took 6 of 10
S4Wrobel2Marchlewski3n = 5Marchlewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWrobelMarchlewskiW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.433.3−0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWrobelMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime561 / 1161 vs 139 / 31648.3%44%561 / 1161 vs 139 / 316Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WrobelWrobel 1.77/Marchlewski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Wrobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 07:40D. Wrobel—8911101K. Marchlewski—11119123
WJul 17 · 23:20D. Wrobel—1111113K. Marchlewski—9650
LJul 17 · 21:00D. Wrobel—10311111K. Marchlewski—12116133
WMar 21 · 01:45D. Wrobel—61111113K. Marchlewski—118851
WMar 20 · 23:20D. Wrobel—1711113K. Marchlewski—15970
LDec 20 · 03:20D. Wrobel—6660K. Marchlewski—1111113
LDec 20 · 24:55D. Wrobel—118691K. Marchlewski—61111113
WNov 22 · 03:20D. Wrobel—71111113K. Marchlewski—113941
LNov 22 · 24:55D. Wrobel—10690K. Marchlewski—1211113
LSep 27 · 24:20D. Wrobel—5990K. Marchlewski—1111103
D. Wrobel10
LSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120LSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571WSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113LSep 5 · 04:25J. Przewlocki1.801111113D. Wrobel1.864980LSep 5 · 03:00K. Klocek1.76111111113D. Wrobel1.90871361LAug 29 · 06:30D. Wrobel2.18811311132T. Piotrowski1.58118119153LAug 29 · 05:15D. Wrobel1.71413891B. Wisniewski2.00111111113WAug 29 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.35131112862D. Wrobel1.501591011113LAug 29 · 03:25D. Wrobel1.85125118102J. Rolak1.851011811123WAug 26 · 08:10D. Wrobel2.3611611123B. Czerwinski1.508117101
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113
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