TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065837
Played Sep 2Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
2.24
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119811811––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
811119811811––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 5–3 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Gluszek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Marchlewski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1219 vs Gluszek 1241
Gluszek
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 60% vs Gluszek 40%
Marchlewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 70% vs Gluszek 30%
Marchlewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski +1 · Gluszek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gluszek) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.24 / Gluszek 1.55
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Gluszek)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065837
Marchlewski2.24
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 41 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Gluszek1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 188 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it95% 94 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it77% 145 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMarchlewski5wins
AwayGluszek3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski100%3 of 3
AwayGluszek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski3Gluszek5n = 8Gluszek took 5 of 8
S2Marchlewski3Gluszek5n = 8Gluszek took 5 of 8
S3Marchlewski3Gluszek5n = 8Gluszek took 5 of 8
S4Marchlewski6Gluszek0n = 6Marchlewski took 6 of 6
S5Marchlewski2Gluszek1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiGluszekM − GBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.237.8+1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 321 vs 864 / 181744.2%47.6%142 / 321 vs 864 / 1817Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GluszekMarchlewski 2.24/Gluszek 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Gluszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gluszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 1 · 22:55K. Marchlewski—11711113W. Gluszek—511391
WSep 1 · 20:05K. Marchlewski—712911113W. Gluszek—111011382
WAug 6 · 24:10K. Marchlewski—11711133W. Gluszek—3116111
WAug 5 · 20:30K. Marchlewski—11124113W. Gluszek—6101181
LMay 3 · 10:20K. Marchlewski—68110W. Gluszek—1111133
WNov 22 · 11:35K. Marchlewski—8111011113W. Gluszek—11612772
LMay 2 · 15:50K. Marchlewski—711111332W. Gluszek—1113711113
LMar 8 · 16:05K. Marchlewski—10580W. Gluszek—1211113
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113WSep 1 · 23:45K. Marchlewski2.001311113B. Wisniewski1.7111890
W. Gluszek10
WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113LSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 16:35K. Golaszewski1.791111113W. Gluszek1.885890LSep 3 · 15:00M. Trela1.8531111113W. Gluszek1.80118841LSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980
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