TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065571
Played Sep 2Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114711119811118
Miroslaw Piecowski
Away
1.98
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
114711119811118
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 13–5 Miroslaw Piecowski Miroslaw Piecowski has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Marchlewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Marchlewski
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1206 vs Piecowski 1264
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 60% vs Piecowski 80%
Piecowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 60% vs Piecowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski -2 · Piecowski +3
Piecowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marchlewski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 1.71 / Piecowski 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marchlewski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13065571
Marchlewski1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 36 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Piecowski1.98
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarchlewski5wins
AwayPiecowski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski50%3 of 6
AwayPiecowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski6Piecowski4n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S2Marchlewski5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Marchlewski4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S4Marchlewski4Piecowski3n = 7Marchlewski took 4 of 7
S5Marchlewski3Piecowski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiPiecowskiM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.641.1+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 320 vs 515 / 115844.1%44.5%141 / 320 vs 515 / 1158Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiMarchlewski 1.71/Piecowski 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 13:30K. Marchlewski—84100M. Piecowski—1111123
LAug 30 · 04:30K. Marchlewski—1212610102M. Piecowski—10101112123
LAug 7 · 24:10K. Marchlewski—1111581M. Piecowski—13811113
LAug 6 · 18:55K. Marchlewski—118101272M. Piecowski—9111210113
WJul 18 · 24:35K. Marchlewski—971111123M. Piecowski—111178102
WJul 17 · 22:10K. Marchlewski—4121111113M. Piecowski—111031372
LJul 17 · 17:45K. Marchlewski—116111172M. Piecowski—711138113
WMar 23 · 02:00K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Piecowski—4680
WMar 22 · 23:35K. Marchlewski—119415113M. Piecowski—511111392
WMar 22 · 21:30K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Piecowski—5760
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113WSep 1 · 23:45K. Marchlewski2.001311113B. Wisniewski1.7111890
M. Piecowski10
LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192LSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371WSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861WSep 2 · 20:05W. Gluszek2.105750M. Piecowski1.601111113LSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141WSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113WSep 1 · 24:10B. Wisniewski1.603950M. Piecowski2.151111113LAug 31 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.9811116972B. Mrugala1.73991111113
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