TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13066670
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslaw Piecowski
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119118116––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Piecowski to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
811119118116––
H2H Miroslaw Piecowski 17–18 Marcin Kowalczyk Miroslaw Piecowski has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Kowalczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1254 vs Kowalczyk 1269
Kowalczyk
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 60% vs Kowalczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 60% vs Kowalczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski +1 · Kowalczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.90 / Kowalczyk 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13066670
Piecowski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Kowalczyk1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 109 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it74% 94 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiecowski4wins
AwayKowalczyk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKowalczyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKowalczyk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski2Kowalczyk8n = 10Kowalczyk took 8 of 10
S2Piecowski3Kowalczyk7n = 10Kowalczyk took 7 of 10
S3Piecowski7Kowalczyk3n = 10Piecowski took 7 of 10
S4Piecowski2Kowalczyk5n = 7Kowalczyk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiecowskiKowalczykP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.337.7−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 1161 vs 731 / 150244.4%48.7%516 / 1161 vs 731 / 1502Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalczykPiecowski 1.90/Kowalczyk 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 19:20M. Piecowski—241141M. Kowalczyk—11118113
LAug 26 · 22:35M. Piecowski—67100M. Kowalczyk—1111123
LAug 26 · 16:55M. Piecowski—971181M. Kowalczyk—11115113
WAug 17 · 21:05M. Piecowski—111263113M. Kowalczyk—910111192
WAug 17 · 16:55M. Piecowski—1111133M. Kowalczyk—87110
WAug 13 · 18:30M. Piecowski—881111113M. Kowalczyk—11117472
LAug 10 · 23:20M. Piecowski—6111181M. Kowalczyk—11134113
WAug 10 · 20:30M. Piecowski—71311113M. Kowalczyk—1111671
LAug 6 · 19:40M. Piecowski—9380M. Kowalczyk—1111113
LAug 3 · 23:20M. Piecowski—641181M. Kowalczyk—11118113
M. Piecowski10
LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192LSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371WSep 2 · 20:05W. Gluszek2.105750M. Piecowski1.601111113LSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141LSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182WSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113WSep 1 · 24:10B. Wisniewski1.603950M. Piecowski2.151111113LAug 31 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.9811116972B. Mrugala1.73991111113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141
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