TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065476
Played Sep 3Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117411118811
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
911117411118811
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 46–60 Jaroslaw Rolak Marcin Kowalczyk has won 46 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-60 in 106
Rolak
Correct
gap of 14 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1269 vs Rolak 1283
Rolak
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Rolak 60%
Rolak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 50% vs Rolak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk -1 · Rolak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Rolak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 2.55 / Rolak 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Rolak)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065476
Kowalczyk2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 170 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Rolak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 147 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it89% 70 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it68% 117 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalczyk6wins
AwayRolak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKowalczyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalczyk75%6 of 8
AwayRolakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalczyk8Rolak2n = 10Kowalczyk took 8 of 10
S2Kowalczyk6Rolak4n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S3Kowalczyk3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S4Kowalczyk4Rolak4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalczykRolakK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.1+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime733 / 1505 vs 670 / 145148.7%46.2%733 / 1505 vs 670 / 1451Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakKowalczyk 2.55/Rolak 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—11711113J. Rolak—111951
WAug 25 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—1111113J. Rolak—9760
LAug 20 · 23:20M. Kowalczyk—118991J. Rolak—71111113
LAug 20 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—13117872J. Rolak—1181111113
WAug 18 · 23:20M. Kowalczyk—11119153J. Rolak—5911131
WAug 18 · 20:30M. Kowalczyk—11113153J. Rolak—9911131
WAug 13 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—11119113J. Rolak—961181
LAug 11 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—9111041J. Rolak—11612113
WAug 6 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—11111110113J. Rolak—71351262
LAug 4 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—10770J. Rolak—1211113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141
J. Rolak10
WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051LSep 5 · 04:55T. Piotrowski1.571111113J. Rolak2.213780LSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90781171
Upcoming Matches
M. Kowalczyk
Nothing scheduled
J. Rolak1 of 1 neutral
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