TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073089
Played Sep 3Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119118611119
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
811119118611119
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 40–30 Kuba Golaszewski Kuba Golaszewski has won 30 of their 70 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (60%)
Kowalczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-30 in 70
Kowalczyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1296 vs Golaszewski 1253
Kowalczyk
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 60% vs Golaszewski 40%
Kowalczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 60% vs Golaszewski 40%
Kowalczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk +3 · Golaszewski -2
Kowalczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 1.54 / Golaszewski 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13073089
Kowalczyk1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 112 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 132
Golaszewski2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 194 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back18% 45 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalczyk5wins
AwayGolaszewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalczyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayGolaszewski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalczyk6Golaszewski4n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S2Kowalczyk5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kowalczyk6Golaszewski4n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S4Kowalczyk2Golaszewski4n = 6Golaszewski took 4 of 6
S5Kowalczyk1Golaszewski2n = 3Golaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalczykGolaszewskiK − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.9+1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime736 / 1510 vs 382 / 90748.7%42.1%736 / 1510 vs 382 / 907Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalczykKowalczyk 1.54/Golaszewski 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 24:10M. Kowalczyk—1111113K. Golaszewski—6670
LAug 20 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk—58110K. Golaszewski—1111133
LAug 12 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk—1071171K. Golaszewski—12116113
WAug 12 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk—111111113K. Golaszewski—771371
WAug 10 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk—1111113K. Golaszewski—7950
LAug 10 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk—61180K. Golaszewski—1113113
WJul 29 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—11811113K. Golaszewski—911691
LJul 21 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk—81111792K. Golaszewski—115711113
WJul 20 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—111386113K. Golaszewski—611111192
LJun 22 · 20:05M. Kowalczyk—11811992K. Golaszewski—611811113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141
K. Golaszewski10
LSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101WSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162LSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113LSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113LSep 6 · 08:10K. Golaszewski2.261189101B. Wisniewski1.5541111123WSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123LSep 6 · 05:40T. Piotrowski1.541111113K. Golaszewski2.254880LSep 6 · 04:55K. Golaszewski2.25611961M. Sinicki1.5511711113WSep 6 · 03:50K. Golaszewski1.7311411113F. Jablonski2.00711781
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