TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067126
Played Sep 2Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116811311114118
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
116811311114118
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 14–15 Wojciech Gluszek Marcin Kowalczyk has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Kowalczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1257 vs Gluszek 1254
Kowalczyk
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Gluszek 60%
Gluszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk -2 · Gluszek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 1.66 / Gluszek 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13067126
Kowalczyk1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 109 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it74% 94 of 127
Gluszek2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back18% 33 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalczyk5wins
AwayGluszek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalczyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayGluszek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalczyk7Gluszek3n = 10Kowalczyk took 7 of 10
S2Kowalczyk3Gluszek7n = 10Gluszek took 7 of 10
S3Kowalczyk5Gluszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kowalczyk3Gluszek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalczykGluszekK − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.033.4+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime731 / 1503 vs 866 / 182048.6%47.6%731 / 1503 vs 866 / 1820Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalczykKowalczyk 1.66/Gluszek 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk—118391W. Gluszek—81111113
WAug 25 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk—126119113W. Gluszek—101151172
LAug 24 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk—6960W. Gluszek—1111113
WAug 24 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk—11811113W. Gluszek—611531
LAug 18 · 22:35M. Kowalczyk—45110W. Gluszek—1111133
LAug 18 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk—31161162W. Gluszek—118118113
WAug 17 · 23:20M. Kowalczyk—11714113W. Gluszek—5111251
WAug 17 · 20:30M. Kowalczyk—1111113W. Gluszek—8850
LAug 11 · 16:15M. Kowalczyk—118851W. Gluszek—41111113
WAug 5 · 16:15M. Kowalczyk—1111113W. Gluszek—4660
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141
W. Gluszek10
WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113LSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 16:35K. Golaszewski1.791111113W. Gluszek1.885890LSep 3 · 15:00M. Trela1.8531111113W. Gluszek1.80118841LSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980
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