TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071911
Played Sep 3Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
31110121141214––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
2.06
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
31110121141214––
H2H Mateusz Trela 35–15 Marcin Kowalczyk Marcin Kowalczyk has won 15 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Trela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-15 in 50
Trela
Wrong
gap of 20 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1366 vs Kowalczyk 1259
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Kowalczyk 40%
Trela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 70% vs Kowalczyk 50%
Trela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +2 · Kowalczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.65 / Kowalczyk 2.06
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Trela)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13071911
Trela1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it70% 94 of 134
Kowalczyk2.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 170 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela7wins
AwayKowalczyk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela100%4 of 4
AwayKowalczyk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela4Kowalczyk6n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S2Trela7Kowalczyk3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S3Trela8Kowalczyk2n = 10Trela took 8 of 10
S4Trela5Kowalczyk1n = 6Trela took 5 of 6
S5Trela1Kowalczyk2n = 3Kowalczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaKowalczykT − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.3+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime797 / 1631 vs 733 / 150748.9%48.6%797 / 1631 vs 733 / 1507Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.65/Kowalczyk 2.06
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 20:30M. Trela—391111113M. Kowalczyk—11115882
WAug 17 · 22:35M. Trela—1111113M. Kowalczyk—9790
LAug 12 · 21:05M. Trela—87190M. Kowalczyk—1111213
WAug 12 · 19:20M. Trela—1111113M. Kowalczyk—6980
WJul 30 · 16:15M. Trela—61111113M. Kowalczyk—118991
LJul 24 · 15:25M. Trela—1011711102M. Kowalczyk—129118123
WJul 15 · 16:15M. Trela—71111113M. Kowalczyk—118891
WJul 9 · 19:40M. Trela—1111113M. Kowalczyk—9970
LJul 8 · 16:55M. Trela—411126132M. Kowalczyk—1181011153
WJun 8 · 12:10M. Trela—111012113M. Kowalczyk—7121051
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141
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