TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088883
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.87
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911118611––
Adrian Myszewski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
911911118611––
H2H Mateusz Trela 11–8 Adrian Myszewski Adrian Myszewski has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Myszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Trela
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1358 vs Myszewski 1262
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 40% vs Myszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Myszewski 20%
Trela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -2 · Myszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.87 / Myszewski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13088883
Trela1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 172 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back27% 57 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Myszewski1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 62 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwayMyszewski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela100%3 of 3
AwayMyszewski57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela3Myszewski7n = 10Myszewski took 7 of 10
S2Trela6Myszewski4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Trela7Myszewski3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Trela5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S5Trela3Myszewski2n = 5Trela took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaMyszewskiT − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.345.6−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaMyszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1643 vs 436 / 89148.9%48.9%803 / 1643 vs 436 / 891Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.87/Myszewski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 13:25M. Trela—811115113A. Myszewski—11971192
LAug 9 · 03:40M. Trela—81191182A. Myszewski—118119113
WJul 31 · 23:20M. Trela—16912113A. Myszewski—14111091
LJul 31 · 15:25M. Trela—101411672A. Myszewski—1212911113
LJul 29 · 04:10M. Trela—311461A. Myszewski—11911113
WMay 19 · 13:50M. Trela—91116113A. Myszewski—1161491
WMar 1 · 06:20M. Trela—611611113A. Myszewski—11911792
WFeb 10 · 08:05M. Trela—11914113A. Myszewski—9111281
LFeb 10 · 05:35M. Trela—891271A. Myszewski—111110113
WJan 13 · 10:45M. Trela—118116113A. Myszewski—91191182
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
A. Myszewski10
WSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640LSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 12:40A. Myszewski2.5011108111M. Minda1.4681211133
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