TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088523
Played Sep 6Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
2.23
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9117111121214––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.56
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111121214––
H2H Mateusz Trela 3–5 Bartosz Sulkowski Mateusz Trela has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (59%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1368 vs Sulkowski 1425
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -1 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 2.23 / Sulkowski 1.56
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sulkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13088523
Trela2.23
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 172 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back27% 57 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Sulkowski1.56
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 211 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it98% 96 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 154 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTrela3wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
4 of 8 to a deciderSulkowski leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela50%2 of 4
AwaySulkowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela4Sulkowski4n = 8split evenly
S2Trela2Sulkowski6n = 8Sulkowski took 6 of 8
S3Trela3Sulkowski5n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S4Trela1Sulkowski5n = 6Sulkowski took 5 of 6
S5Trela3Sulkowski1n = 4Trela took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricTrelaSulkowskiT − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.842.8−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1642 vs 536 / 121548.9%44.1%803 / 1642 vs 536 / 1215Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiTrela 2.23/Sulkowski 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 14 · 07:40M. Trela—67100B. Sulkowski—1111123
LAug 10 · 04:30M. Trela—1171071B. Sulkowski—81112113
WAug 5 · 06:30M. Trela—118116123B. Sulkowski—711911102
WJul 9 · 11:00M. Trela—811117123B. Sulkowski—118811102
WMay 29 · 04:30M. Trela—118115113B. Sulkowski—61181182
LMay 16 · 19:25M. Trela—8111111112B. Sulkowski—117135133
LJan 17 · 11:30M. Trela—137871B. Sulkowski—111111113
LJan 8 · 06:00M. Trela—3650B. Sulkowski—1111113
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113WSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133
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