TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089341
Played Sep 6Finished
Adam Linek
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111210811118114
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
4111210811118114
H2H Adam Linek 3–1 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Linek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Linek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1444 vs Trela 1347
Linek
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 60% vs Trela 20%
Linek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 40% vs Trela 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek +2 · Trela +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Linek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 1.60 / Trela 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Linek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13089341
Linek1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 111 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 76 of 106
Trela2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 172 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back27% 57 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLinek3wins
AwayTrela1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLinek leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek100%3 of 3
AwayTrelan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek3Trela0n = 3Linek took 3 of 3
S2Linek2Trela1n = 3Linek took 2 of 3
S3Linek3Trela0n = 3Linek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricLinekTrelaL − TBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match42.737.3+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime784 / 1691 vs 804 / 164646.4%48.9%784 / 1691 vs 804 / 1646Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekLinek 1.60/Trela 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 29 · 06:55A. Linek—1111113M. Trela—9980
WJan 7 · 07:15A. Linek—189118153M. Trela—1611911132
WFeb 14 · 05:10A. Linek—1112113M. Trela—81080
A. Linek10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WAug 25 · 13:55A. Linek2.251111412113A. Sobel1.5426111482WAug 25 · 12:40A. Linek2.23911116113P. Blocho1.5611941142LAug 25 · 11:25A. Linek2.1510750A. Lilien1.601211113LAug 25 · 10:10L. Pietraszko1.37118811113A. Linek2.7571111792WAug 25 · 09:25A. Linek1.951211113B. Czerwinski1.7510590LAug 25 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.501161111163A. Linek2.35911813142LAug 25 · 07:20A. Linek1.861365151K. Rudomina1.83111111173
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
Nothing scheduled
M. Trela
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