TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13011441
Played Aug 25Finished
Adam Linek
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711511––––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1012711511––––
H2H Adam Linek 46–78 Aleksander Lilien Adam Linek has won 46 of their 124 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-78 in 124
Lilien
Correct
gap of 32 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1426 vs Lilien 1510
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 20% vs Lilien 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 30% vs Lilien 60%
Lilien
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek -1 · Lilien -3
Lilien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 2.15 / Lilien 1.60
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Lilien)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13011441
Linek2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 178 of 430
Down 0–1, comes back24% 57 of 238
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 122
Lilien1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 237 of 402
Up 2–0, closes it96% 122 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it77% 183 of 237
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek5wins
AwayLilien5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek66.7%4 of 6
AwayLilien75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek6Lilien4n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S2Linek3Lilien7n = 10Lilien took 7 of 10
S3Linek7Lilien3n = 10Linek took 7 of 10
S4Linek4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekLilienLinek − LilienBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.338.7−0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1718 vs 843 / 156646.3%53.8%795 / 1718 vs 843 / 1566Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLinek 2.15/Lilien 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.3%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 10:35A. Linek—11911113A. Lilien—911791
LAug 14 · 04:00A. Linek—118771A. Lilien—41111113
WAug 9 · 21:55A. Linek—11117113A. Lilien—681191
LAug 9 · 16:15A. Linek—381171A. Lilien—11116113
WJul 19 · 23:20A. Linek—111211113A. Lilien—714371
LJul 19 · 21:00A. Linek—891161A. Lilien—11115113
WJul 19 · 15:00A. Linek—51111143A. Lilien—1198121
WJul 18 · 08:05A. Linek—117114113A. Lilien—71151152
LJul 18 · 05:35A. Linek—911441A. Lilien—11611113
LJun 25 · 06:05A. Linek—1131211102A. Lilien—8111013123
A. Linek10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113WSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842LSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WAug 25 · 13:55A. Linek2.251111412113A. Sobel1.5426111482WAug 25 · 12:40A. Linek2.23911116113P. Blocho1.5611941142LAug 25 · 10:10L. Pietraszko1.37118811113A. Linek2.7571111792WAug 25 · 09:25A. Linek1.951211113B. Czerwinski1.7510590LAug 25 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.501161111163A. Linek2.35911813142LAug 25 · 07:20A. Linek1.861365151K. Rudomina1.83111111173
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
Upcoming Matches
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