TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083281
Played Sep 6Finished
Alan Wos
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1195111171012811
Aleksander Lilien
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1195111171012811
H2H Alan Wos 0–1 Aleksander Lilien Alan Wos has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:31What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Wos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wos 1544 vs Lilien 1440
Wos
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 80% vs Lilien 20%
Wos
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 40% vs Lilien 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos -1 · Lilien -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 34% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lilien form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 1.63 / Lilien 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Wos)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13083281
Wos1.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 98 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it88% 66 of 75
Lilien2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 91 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back17% 25 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWos0wins
AwayLilien1wins
Lilien leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWosLilienW − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 684 vs 830 / 153738.6%54%264 / 684 vs 830 / 1537Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosWos 1.63/Lilien 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.3%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 26 · 13:00A. Wos—4911101A. Lilien—11117123
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191LSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113LSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
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